wealth management sacramento and sacramento mortgage advisors

INTERNATIONALLY RECOGNIZED PROFESSIONAL ASSET MANAGEMENT IN SACRAMENTO CALIFORNIA

 Fox Business News LogoBusiness News Network Logocnbc Logowall street journal logonews 10 now logocbs13 logoExaminer Logosacbee logo

Keith Springer provides expert commentary and analysis for various global media outlets.
 For recent TV appearances and contributions click: Keith in the Media
Share |


Critical Economic and Market Commentary 11/19/09
- Market update - How to invest in this market
-Springer Turkey Challenge – Help us feed the hungry this holiday season


Market update - How to invest in this market
It's been a very exciting year for the markets, and after what we've been through, no matter the market does makes us nervous. Unfortunately many people have been left on the sidelines, afraid to do anything, and being penalized by making next to nothing.

The key is to get the very best returns with the least risk possible...essentially great returns with less risk, and our “real-return” investment strategy should continue to work well. We have been concentrating on high-dividend paying equities, selected real-estate investment trusts (REITs), preferred stocks and master limited partnerships (MLPs). These instruments offer the upside potential of equity markets but with the huge benefit of an income stream to enhance returns and that often limits the downside risk during a market correction. Naturally these are not without risk so it’s necessary to make sure you know what you are doing in this arena or use someone that does.

Interestingly, market statistics show that high-dividend-paying stocks have outperformed non-dividend-paying stocks (with lower volatility) over the long term. They tend to outperform during bear markets, and in a recession their stock prices depend less on earnings. But equity income investing is not just about picking those stocks with the highest dividend yields. A company must also have a track record of dividend hikes, a low payout ratio (as a more moderate dividend is less likely to be cut), reliable management and growing earnings. Many learned the hard way that many companies that had historically safe dividends like General Electric did the unthinkable and cut their payouts to shore up balance sheets. Given those circumstances, high dividend stocks should not be purchased with a buy-and-hold mentality, but tactically managed for changes in the company’s management strategy and financial position. In fact every portfolio should be managed tactically.

Preferred stocks have always been a favorite, as they are senior to common equity but offer much more attractive yields. Currently there are still many good ones paying well over 8 to 10%. For taxable accounts, MLPs are incredibly attractive. MLP’s are publicly traded energy partnerships that trade on major exchanges and offer an opportunity to maximize income because they are required to return all profits to unit holders. Since most MLPs operate oil and gas infrastructure such as pipelines, processing plants and storage tanks, they are also attractive as investments in the underlying hard assets owned by the MLPs. MLPs also have huge tax advantages, especially for high net worth individuals, as the dividends are generally 85% tax free. Considering the possible capital appreciation and the yields, which are between 8% and 12%, these are hard to beat. And last but not least, bonds are still very attractive. Some Tax-free municipals look good but be very very selective. The real pop is in corporate bonds with excellent yields, just recently with 10%+ for under 2 years.

In the world we live in today, the greatest long-term risks to an income-oriented investor are rising interest rates and inflation, which erode the relative value of the income stream. As much as the Fed insists monetary policy will remain accommodative for the foreseeable future, upward pressure on interest rates will likely continue, especially in light of the growing federal deficit and accompanying inflation fears. Therefore, stay very short with your bonds. That is where the biggest bang for the buck is anyway. Protect yourself. Tactical management is the key to reducing this impact of inflation and protecting principal and income over the long term.

Investment Strategy: Stick with these 2 important things:
1. Invest for “Real Returns”. Dividends, dividends and dividends…(and corporate and tax-free bond interest of course). There’s a lot of great high yielding issues out there with, many yielding well over 8% to 10% with appreciation potential. Call me if you’d like to discuss.

2. Take a “Tactical” approach. Buy and hold kills. Tactical does not mean day trading. To the contrary. It employs an actively managed approach to taking advantage of major trends. Very simply, if the market looks dangerous, you get out. Period. You don’t hold it because your broker says it’s a long term investment. You live to fight another day. Two 50%+ bear markets have proved this. Our proprietary Top-Down Tactical™ (TDT™) is built for today's difficult market.

If you would like more information on our unique proprietary process for building successful tax efficient portfolios, give me a call or email me at Keith@KeithSpringer.com

Springer Turkey Challenge – Help us feed the hungry this holiday season
Our annual turkey challenge is in full swing where I match donations dollar for dollar to feed the hungry this holiday season. Last year we fed over 10,000 people and hopefully even more this year. Visit: www.SpringerTurkeyChallenge.com


Let me know if you have any questions or if I can help with something.

Cheers –Keith
916-925-8900

P.S. Be sure I am in your address book so these weekly email newsletters do not get blocked.

Keith Springer is President of Capital Financial Advisory Services, a registered investment advisor, providing Wealth Management and Mortgage Consulting Services.  For more information on how to build and maintain a solid retirement plan, please contact Keith at
916-925-8900 or Keith@KeithSpringer.com

"To leave the world a bit better, whether by a healthy child, a garden patch or a redeemed
social condition; to know even one life has breathed easier because you have lived. This is
to have succeeded"  -Emerson

Wealth Management Advisors & Mortgage Consultants — Professional Financial Advice Since 1985
Copyright © 2008. Capital Financial Advisory Services
CAPFAS Insurance Solutions CA License # 0G11958