|
Market update - How to invest in this market
It's been a very exciting year for the markets, and after
what we've been through, no matter the market does makes us
nervous. Unfortunately many people have been left on the
sidelines, afraid to do anything, and being penalized by
making next to nothing.
The key is to get the very best returns with the least
risk possible...essentially great returns with less
risk, and our “real-return” investment strategy should
continue to work well. We have been concentrating on
high-dividend paying equities, selected real-estate
investment trusts (REITs), preferred stocks and master
limited partnerships (MLPs). These instruments offer the
upside potential of equity markets but with the huge benefit
of an income stream to enhance returns and that often limits
the downside risk during a market correction. Naturally
these are not without risk so it’s necessary to make sure
you know what you are doing in this arena or use someone
that does.
Interestingly, market statistics show that
high-dividend-paying stocks have outperformed
non-dividend-paying stocks (with lower volatility) over the
long term. They tend to outperform during bear markets,
and in a recession their stock prices depend less on
earnings. But equity income investing is not just about
picking those stocks with the highest dividend yields. A
company must also have a track record of dividend hikes, a
low payout ratio (as a more moderate dividend is less likely
to be cut), reliable management and growing earnings. Many
learned the hard way that many companies that had
historically safe dividends like General Electric did the
unthinkable and cut their payouts to shore up balance
sheets. Given those circumstances, high dividend stocks
should not be purchased with a buy-and-hold mentality, but
tactically managed for changes in the company’s management
strategy and financial position. In fact every portfolio
should be managed tactically.
Preferred stocks have always been a favorite, as they
are senior to common equity but offer much more attractive
yields. Currently there are still many good ones paying well
over 8 to 10%. For taxable accounts, MLPs are
incredibly attractive. MLP’s are publicly traded energy
partnerships that trade on major exchanges and offer an
opportunity to maximize income because they are required to
return all profits to unit holders. Since most MLPs operate
oil and gas infrastructure such as pipelines, processing
plants and storage tanks, they are also attractive as
investments in the underlying hard assets owned by the MLPs.
MLPs also have huge tax advantages, especially for high net
worth individuals, as the dividends are generally 85% tax
free. Considering the possible capital appreciation and the
yields, which are between 8% and 12%, these are hard to
beat. And last but not least, bonds are still very
attractive. Some Tax-free municipals look good but be very
very selective. The real pop is in corporate bonds with
excellent yields, just recently with 10%+ for under 2 years.
In the world we live in today, the greatest long-term risks
to an income-oriented investor are rising interest rates and
inflation, which erode the relative value of the income
stream. As much as the Fed insists monetary policy will
remain accommodative for the foreseeable future, upward
pressure on interest rates will likely continue, especially
in light of the growing federal deficit and accompanying
inflation fears. Therefore, stay very short with your bonds.
That is where the biggest bang for the buck is anyway.
Protect yourself. Tactical management is the key to reducing
this impact of inflation and protecting principal and income
over the long term.
Investment Strategy: Stick with these 2 important things:
1. Invest for “Real Returns”. Dividends, dividends and
dividends…(and corporate and tax-free bond interest of
course). There’s a lot of great high yielding issues out
there with, many yielding well over 8% to 10% with
appreciation potential. Call me if you’d like to discuss.
2. Take a “Tactical” approach. Buy and hold kills. Tactical
does not mean day trading. To the contrary. It employs an
actively managed approach to taking advantage of major
trends. Very simply, if the market looks dangerous, you get
out. Period. You don’t hold it because your broker says it’s
a long term investment. You live to fight another day. Two
50%+ bear markets have proved this. Our proprietary Top-Down
Tactical™ (TDT™)
is built for today's difficult market.
If you would like more information on our unique
proprietary process for building successful tax efficient
portfolios, give me a call or email me at
Keith@KeithSpringer.com
Springer Turkey Challenge – Help us feed the hungry this
holiday season
Our annual turkey challenge is in full swing where I match
donations dollar for dollar to feed the hungry this holiday
season. Last year we fed over 10,000 people and hopefully
even more this year. Visit:
www.SpringerTurkeyChallenge.com
Let me know if you have any questions or if I can help with
something.
Cheers –Keith
916-925-8900
P.S. Be sure I am in your address book so these weekly email
newsletters do not get blocked.
Keith Springer is President of Capital Financial
Advisory Services, a registered investment advisor,
providing Wealth Management and Mortgage Consulting
Services. For more information on how to build and
maintain a solid retirement plan, please contact Keith
at
916-925-8900 or
Keith@KeithSpringer.com |